As I have been mentioning most of this week on my Facebook page [ www.facebook.com/CataulaGeorgiaWeather ], there may be snow in the area. This morning my thinking has not changed. In FACT .. the National Weather Service in Peachtree city is now coming on board toward my thinking from past days. They at this time, 5 AM EST Friday February 15 2013 mention a bullseye of Snow of OVER 1 inch, south of Columbus by 1 PM EST Saturday afternoon. They also say less than 1 inch for areas between Atlanta and Columbus around 10 AM EST Saturday Morning. Timing and placement of this is not exact, so I will be monitoring things to narrow it down and posting it on Facebook and tweeting [ twitter.com/cataulagawx ] it when it snows at my location.. Right now I would say between 6 AM and 12 PM Saturday.
As mentioned above and from looking at data, there is indeed a sweet spot or bullseye in central Georgia. Columbus looks to get around 1 inch, and Macon about 2 inches if numerical data from the NAM-06z run is correct.
Athens Georgia should get under 1 inch and Atlanta just over a Tenth of an inch. There isn't much to go around but there could be more or less depending on how things set up and where. It remains to be seen if snow will accumulate on the ground, it will on cars and other surfaces.
Here's a few images showing 06z NAM profiles and Skew-t's for Columbus, Macon, Athens and Atlanta Georgia.
Automatic posting of Watches and Warnings are posted at my other Twitter and Facebook accounts - Facebook Page:Cataula GA Weather Alerts And Twitter Stream @CataulaGaALERTS.
Here are the latest Graphics from the Storm Prediction Center [SPC]Issued at 7:30 PM EST today, valid through Saturday morning.
Changes in these graphics from this evening at 3:41 PM EST HIGHLIGHTED HIGH RISK AREA for SOUTHERN INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...A LARGE PORTION OF KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE..HAS BEEN REMOVED..Other changes in COVERAGE areas of the Moderate, and Slight risk are indicated. These coverage areas are likely to continue shifting EAST in future Updates.
Categorical Outlook : Thunderstorms - Green Area, Slight Risk of Possible Strong Thunderstorms - Yellow Area, Moderate Risk of Possible Severe Storms - Red Area, HIGH RISK area likely to see TORNADOES - Fuchsia Area.
Tornado Outlook: Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. - 2% risk of a Tornado - Green Area, 5% risk of a Tornado - Brown Area, 10% risk of a Tornado - Yellow Area, 15% risk of a Tornado - Red Area. Hatched Area : 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Outlook: Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots [57 MPH] or higher within 25 miles of a point: 5% risk of damaging winds - Brown Area, 15% risk of damaging winds - Yellow Area, 30% risk of damaging winds - Red Area, 45% risk of damaging winds - Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Outlook: Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point. : 5% risk of large damaging hail - Brown Area, 15% risk of large damaging hail - Yellow Area, 30% risk of large damaging hail - Red Area, 45% risk of large damaging hail - Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Please folks, take this threat seriously. Since 12 AM this morning there has already been 118 total storm reports. 17 of those have been Tornado reports, 18 high wind reports of winds 74 MPH or higher [ Category 1 Hurricane winds 74 - 95 mph ] and 83 Large hail reports 2 inches and larger.
This may be my last BLOG post on this. I will be monitoring the situation in the SOUTHEAST and posting Updates on Twitter @CataulaGaWX and Facebook at Cataula Ga Weather.
Automatic posting of Watches and Warnings are posted at my other Twitter and Facebook accounts - Facebook Page:Cataula GA Weather Alerts And Twitter Stream @CataulaGaALERTS.
Here are the latest Graphics from the Storm Prediction Center [SPC]Issued at 2:56 PM EST today, valid through Saturday morning.
Changes in these graphics from this morning at 12:42 AM EST now HIGHLIGHT A HIGH RISK AREA for SOUTHERN INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...A LARGE PORTION OF KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE....Other changes in COVERAGE areas of the Moderate, and Slight risk are also indicated. These coverage areas are likely to shift EAST in future Updates.
Categorical Outlook : Thunderstorms - Green Area, Slight Risk of Possible Strong Thunderstorms - Yellow Area, Moderate Risk of Possible Severe Storms - Red Area, HIGH RISK area likely to see TORNADOES - Fuchsia Area.
Tornado Outlook: Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. - 2% risk of a Tornado - Green Area, 5% risk of a Tornado - Brown Area, 10% risk of a Tornado - Yellow Area, 15% risk of a Tornado - Red Area. 30% risk of a Tornado - Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area : 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Outlook: Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots [57 MPH] or higher within 25 miles of a point: 5% risk of damaging winds - Brown Area, 15% risk of damaging winds - Yellow Area, 30% risk of damaging winds - Red Area, 45% risk of damaging winds - Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Outlook: Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point. : 5% risk of large damaging hail - Brown Area, 15% risk of large damaging hail - Yellow Area, 30% risk of large damaging hail - Red Area, 45% risk of large damaging hail - Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
First and foremost ... The main threat will be north of the local area, but the possibility remains for strong to severe storms.
As in all of my posts of this nature, this is not meant to alarm you, but to give you a heads up as to what may be heading to your area. I try real hard not to overstate a situation like this. On the same note, I will not downplay a severe risk either. If what I tell you fails to materialize, that's a good thing.
Okay, on with the show....
Around 11 PM last night after looking very quickly at data I became more concerned with what I saw from earlier. So much so I posted this on Facebook so my Columbus Georgia area followers would be aware of what may happen with the coming storms.
Listen up ... I am becoming more concerned for the local area after taking a quick peek at some data. While I still believe at this time it will not be as bad as areas to our north [that's a given], I do believe it will become quite active around here. I will be looking at more data in the hours to come and will have a blog update tomorrow moring. Always be weather alert even if a tornado threat isn't as high where you live !!
Some of my followers became alarmed and this was my reply.
I do believe as mentioned things may get active around here. What that will bring is anyone's guess. Down here the risks will not be a widespread as in areas to our north. There is still a chance of seeing isolated severe storms down here, and from what I looked at earlier that chance has increased from what I looked at even earlier. The timing looks like the most severe will come through in the AM hours of Saturday morning providing what I looked at holds together. Before this time stronger storms are possible. My concern is not meant to say Tornadoes will be a sure thing in the local area, only that the chances are now enhanced from my earlier thinking
I stand by my earlier thoughts.
Possibly verifying my thoughts is this from the Storm Prediction Center [SPC]Issued at 12:42 AM EST today, valid through Saturday morning
GULF STATES...
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IT APPEARS THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL BECOME VERY ACTIVE CONVECTIVE-WISE AS WIND SHIFT ENCOUNTERS MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ACROSS THE TN VALLEY/GULF STATES. SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THIS REGION ALSO FAVOR SUPERCELLS...THOUGH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE COULD CERTAINLY ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR MULTIPLE LINE SEGMENTS.
Possibly enhancing this is something I mentioned yesterday, a secondary low forming south of the main low. You can see this second low clearly in this graphic on the Texas / Oklahoma border.
Also of concern along with this is a 'Dry Line' tailing south from this second low as seen on this surface map issued this morning at 2:29 AM EST. This may also provide enhancement to the system allowing more warm moist air to feed in providing fuel.
This is very serious situation yet to unfold for many areas of the Ohio Valley down to the Gulf coast and East to the Carolinas.
Here are the latest Graphics from the Storm Prediction Center [SPC]Issued at 12:42 AM EST today, valid through Saturday morning
Categorical Outlook : Thunderstorms Green Area, Slight Risk of Possible Strong Thunderstorms Yellow Area, Moderate Risk of Possible Severe Storms Red Area.
Tornado Outlook: 2% risk of a Tornado Green Area, 5% risk of a Tornado Brown Area, 10% risk of a Tornado Yellow Area, 15% risk of a Tornado Red Area. Red Hatched Area : 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Outlook: Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots [57 MPH] or higher within 25 miles of a point: 5% risk of damaging winds Brown Area, 15% risk of damaging winds Yellow Area, 30% risk of damaging winds Red Area, 45% risk of damaging winds Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Outlook: Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point. : 5% risk of large damaging hail Brown Area, 15% risk of large damaging hail Yellow Area, 30% risk of large damaging hail Red Area, 45% risk of large damaging hail Fuchsia Area. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
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I'll be getting some sleep and will be back monitoring the situation around 4 PM EST today.
As usual when severe weather threatens the area, I'll continue to watch and will be posting Updates on Facebook and Twitter. You can follow along here :: My MAIN accounts: On Twitter @CataulaGaWX where I post relevant information as storms approach the area, and Facebook Cataula Ga Weather where I try and do the same.
Also of interest is my other Twitter and Facebook accounts where All warnings for the local area are posted automatically as they are issued. Facebook Page:Cataula GA Weather Alerts And Twitter Stream @CataulaGaALERTS.
"Not much change since my last update November 13 2011. While this is the case, drought conditions continue to lesson in Georgia. The biggest reason for this is the cooler weather and shorter days."
While this is true for the most part during winter months, don't let it fool you.
Case and point ... Since my last report, drought conditions have once again intensified in Georgia, although not as severe as they could be if this were summer. The only area that continues to see relief from drought in Georgia are areas in the north. Much of the rest of the state has seen conditions worsen, most now still in an Extreme drought. This is not how many of us wanted to start the new year.
Here's a graphic showing the intensification of drought in Georgia via the U.S. Drought Monitor, from November 2011 to January 3 2012.
Here are rainfall deficits for the last 365 days from select areas in Georgia via NWS Peachtree City, GA
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL THROUGH 01/04/2012:
ATLANTA HARTSFIELD-JACKSON AP: -11.41
ATHENS BEN EPPS AP: -10.15
COLUMBUS METRO AP: -8.39
MACON MIDDLE GA REGIONAL AP: -13.17
Here's a graphic showing additional precipitation needed to bring conditions back to near normal. For the local area, we still need anywhere from 6 to 9 inches of rainfall, as shown above we are down 8.39 inches. Areas to our south need 9 to 12 inches. Graphic via Climate Prediction Center
During winter months my updates are not as frequent, as drought conditions whether good or bad occur at a slower rate. I'll have another update in February.
Locally, reports of rain snow mix, snow showers in areas of north Harris county. Snow in north Georgia and Alabama 1-2 inches and less.
End
____________
Update: 9:00 AM EST 11/27/2011
I'm not going to change anything from previous [Below] at this time. Still looking at a chance of sleet mixing in with rain at times or a snow flurry or two in the local area.
Best chance of seeing any winter precipitation, early Tuesday.
Things could change between now and Tuesday and likely will with such a dynamic system as this. Will we get a surprise ?
End
____________
An interesting set up coming this week. I toyed with this over on my Facebook page earlier this week.
Northern Alabama and Northern Georgia may see some accumulating winter precipitation.
Pretty sure from looking at models, any precipitation that falls in central Georgia Saturday into Sunday will be liquid. Models vary Late Sunday night into Monday and further into the coming week.
Should the slower and deepening model solutions come into play, we may be looking at some frozen type of precipitation in the northern tiers of Alabama and Georgia Monday night, and with enough wrap around moisture from the cut off low which is expected to form may see wintery precipitation into Tuesday morning.
I'm not looking for anything to fall in the frozen category in the local area. Should the cut off low position itself further south, slow to a crawl and allow the colder air further south to interact with abundant moisture which is expected, there is a slim chance of seeing some flurries or sleet in the local area. If anything frozen does fall locally accumulation is not expected as ground temperatures are still quite warm. This all depends on the specific track of the low in question.
On a wetter note: We will be picking up some much needed rain if nothing else. Winter doesn't officially begin until December 22. The first week of December looks interesting as well.
I'll have an update Saturday or Sunday at the latest.
Location: Cherokee County
Rating: EF-1
Wind Speed: 90MPH
Path Length: 24 miles
Path Width: 1/4 mile
Injuries: 1
Deaths: 0
Additional Information: The initial touchdown was just south of Dixie Speedway near Woodstock in south Central Cherokee County. The tornado moved north to northeast and then lifted completely near Nelson in north central Cherokee County. Brookshire and Towne Lake Hills South subdivisions were the hardest hit with 400 homes damaged or destroyed.
Path of EF-1 tornado that struck Cherokee County.
Storm Report
0311 PM TORNADO 3 WSW WOODSTOCK 34.08N 84.57W
09/05/2011 F1 CHEROKEE GA NWS STORM SURVEY
*** 1 INJ *** MAX WIND SPEED 90 MPH...PATH LENGTH 24
MILES SEMI-CONTINUOUS...MAX PATH WIDTH 1/4 MILE. INITIAL
TOUCH DOWN JUST SOUTH OF DIXIE SPEEDWAY NEAR WOODSTOCK IN
SOUTH CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTY...MOVED NORTH TO NORTHEAST
THEN LIFTED COMPLETELY NEAR NELSON IN NORTH CENTRAL
CHEROKEE COUNTY. BROOKSHIRE AND TOWNE LAKE HILLS SOUTH
SUBDIVISIONS HARDEST HIT WITH 400 HOMES DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED. 1 CONFIRMED INJURY.
Reflectivity image of Cherokee County tornado.
Storm Relative Velocity of Cherokee County tornado.
Damage to a house in Holly Springs, GA (Cherokee County).
Damage from the EF-1 tornado in Cherokee County.
Trees snapped by the EF-1 tornado in Holly Springs, GA (Cherokee County).
The last mention of drought here at Cataula Georgia Weather was on May 5 2011. It was a little blurb, much like rain around here in the past months. Here's a little of what I said:
I suspect before long I'll begin doing Drought reports again. The last was on November 14, 2010, and since then things looked pretty good. But as a local meteorologist points out, "we are running over 4 inches below average for this point in the year". Expect localized drought conditions to worsen as we move into the summer months, save something from the tropics as mentioned in other posts.
While we are not yet in meteorological summer, the temps are on the way up and rain continues to be absent in the local area. Things look like they'll change sometime next week, possibly severe, but the big question remains; how much rain will fall ?
As you can see from this graphic from the Drought Monitor Archives, 2 weeks makes a big difference. Some areas of the southeast are experiencing an Extreme drought and without appreciable rain these areas will creep farther north into the local area.
While we need the rain, we don't need the amount that has caused flooding to our west in Mississippi and other areas. At the same time, the flooding is localized and many areas to our west need rain as they too are experiencing drought conditions. Have a look at this graphic from the Climate Prediction Center showing how much rain is needed in drought stricken areas of the U.S..
Notice the local area needs 6 to 9 inches of rain, pushing 9 to 12 inches just across the river in Alabama and to our south, to return conditions to near normal.
For the months of June, July and August, we have an equal chance of rain. This will mostly be in the form of afternoon and evening summer type showers and thunderstorms. Some of these will produce heavy rain at times as they do, but with few and far between will provide little relief from the drought. The exception will be a tropical system. Speaking of which, Hurricane season begins June 1st.
While we have an equal chance of rain through June, July and August, the temperatures will be above normal for these months.
With little rain and hot temperatures forecast for the coming months we can expect drought conditions to worsen, if this holds true. This will mean water restrictions will once again be instated. I have noticed through the years this usually doesn't happen until areas to our north in the Atlanta area experience severe to extreme drought conditions.
As mentioned earlier, hurricane season begins June June 1st. The Climate Prediction Center & the National Hurricane Center released the seasonal outlook May 19, 2011. The forecast is for an above normal hurricane season for the Atlantic basin, and below normal for the Eastern Pacific.
For the Atlantic: 12 to 18 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which: 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including: 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)
For the Pacific: 9 to 15 named storms, which includes 5 to 8 hurricanes, of which 1 to 3 are expected to become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale).
My prediction is for 5-6 of these storms to make landfall on the east coast or gulf coast. 3 will be major hurricanes. We shall see.
I promise this is the FINAL update. The Snow is over. These images show how much I had in my area of west central Georgia. We had snow melt during the day, so the actual amount could / would have been more. We were only supposed to get 1-3 inches.
At 1:29 pm March 1,2009 snow on top of the mailbox right at 4 and a half inches.
At 5:11 pm March 1,2009 snow in the yard right at 5 and three quater inches.
#####
This video will be the last update. There is only so much you can post about snow. Rest assured I will continue to take pictures and make videos of this historic event.
I went on a short drive around the neighborhood, and that was enough for me. To many folks out, that don't know how to drive in the flaky white stuff. Scary!
Anyway,...have fun and stay safe.
Just a short video of snow in the deep south. Down here in west central Georgia we don't get much if any. The last time was in 2002. We don't call this snow, we call it a Storm of the Century! The snow began falling around 7 am and continues at 12pm. Already 3+ inches on the ground. The weather folks said we were to get 1-2 inches. Guess they were wrong again. No matter...it's Snowing in the Southland!
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Update #5: Short video from earlier- Remember..this is West Central Georgia!
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Update #4: It's snowing in west central Georgia; Snow showers my ass; this is SNOW!
Stayed up late waiting, finally fell asleep. This is what I woke to. Stay tuned video coming soon. By the way, this is what the rest of Georgia has to look forward too. By my finger on the hood of the truck a little over an inch and the truck is under trees.
#####
Update #3: SNOW Getting closer to Georgia.
A winter storm 'WARNING' has been issued for portions of Northern Alabama and North / Central Mississippi. A winter storm watch is still in effect for a large area of Alabama into Mississippi, and a winter weather advisory is still in effect for a large area of Georgia. Most of these areas are under a Wind advisory as well. Scroll down the page for previous alerts.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
529 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009
...HEAVIER SNOWFALL LIKELY ACROSS THE CENTRAL TENNESSEE VALLEY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF MISSOURI WILL DRIVE
TOWARDS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...DRAGGING COLD AIR AND
MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL TENNESSEE VALLEY. PRECIPITATION WILL
INITIALLY START AS RAIN THIS EVENING...BUT WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW
BY MIDNIGHT. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE
COMMON ACROSS THE REGION...WITH LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA
MOST LIKELY TO SEE HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS.
ALZ005>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-010600-
/O.UPG.KHUN.WW.Y.0001.090301T0400Z-090301T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KHUN.WS.W.0001.090301T0600Z-090301T1800Z/
LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-
LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...
GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN...LYNCHBURG...
FAYETTEVILLE...WINCHESTER
529 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 12 PM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO NORTH ALABAMA AND PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING. AS COLDER AIR FILTERS
IN...THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AROUND MIDNIGHT. PERIODS OF
SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE FINALLY
TAPERING OFF AROUND MIDDAY. MOST AREAS TONIGHT CAN EXPECT
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES. HOWEVER...AS SNOWFALL CONTINUES
OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SUNDAY...TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
IN ADDITION TO SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY SUNDAY WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS BLOWING
SNOW CONDITIONS RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES. USE CAUTION
WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.
A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.
$$
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
813 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009
...AREAS OF SNOW EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF THE ARKLAMISS WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
.A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS
ARKANSAS AND SWING OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AS IT MOVES
THROUGH THE COLD AIR MASS THAT WILL BE IN PLACE.
MSZ029>033-038-039-046-011015-
/O.CON.KJAN.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090301T1400Z/
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-KEMPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...
WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...
LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...DE KALB...SCOOBA
813 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST SUNDAY...
A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST SUNDAY.
PERIODS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS
EVENING. BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE AS PRECIPITATION
BEGINS. SNOW WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOCAL TOTALS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE
GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW OR SLEET
ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
$$
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
910 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM TO BRING SNOW TO MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...
.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW
TO ALL SNOW AS THE COLD AIR ALOFT BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ON
GRASSY AND EXPOSED SURFACES.
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>075-078>084-
089>096-011015-
/O.CON.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.090301T1500Z-090302T0500Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS
910 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ADVISORY AREA COVERS MUCH OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTH OF A LINE FROM CUSSETA TO PERRY TO
MILLEDGEVILLE TO WEST OF AUGUSTA.
LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT AS
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE STATE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...COLD AIR ALOFT
WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE CAUSING THE RAIN TO MIX WITH AND
EVENTUALLY CHANGE TO SNOW.
THE STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CREATE A
SWATH OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA. AS THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THIS PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE A LAYER
OF ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE WHICH WILL CAUSE
SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING. GROUND
SURFACES WILL ALSO BE WARM DUE TO THE RECENT MILD TEMPERATURES
AND SHOULD MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAYS.
HOWEVER...IF A HEAVY BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPS IT COULD CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO FALL AND SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW TO
OCCUR ON ROADS.
PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS ON TELEVISION... RADIO...THE INTERNET OR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO. IF THE STORM SYSTEM OR COLD AIR INTENSIFIES
FURTHER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
$$
#####
Update #2
This update is from the NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL. I include it because the area of Georgia I live in is just across the Chattahoochee River which separates this area of Georgia and Alabama. I don't think the Hooch will stop the Snow from entering Georgia.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
316 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY...
.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DROP SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. AS THE COLD
AIR AND MOISTURE MOVE INTO THE AREA...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
FIRST IN THE NORTHWEST SECTIONS LATER TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA ON SUNDAY.
ALZ018>021-026>033-035>050-010615-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WS.A.0001.090301T1200Z-090301T2100Z/
ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GADSDEN...ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...
PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...
LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...CLANTON...
ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...VALLEY...LANETT...
LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...PRATTVILLE...
FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...MONTGOMERY...
TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...PHENIX CITY...
TROY...EUFAULA
316 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...SOME
SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH A GREAT DEAL OF
UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNTS AND LOCATIONS REMAIN AT THIS TIME.
AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...MORE INFORMATION WILL
BECOME AVAILABLE.
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.
$$
KSL
#####
Update #1 I say the deep south because there is only one state further south in the southeast than Georgia; Florida.
It's coming folks! Maybe not much but, in the area of the southeast where I live it doesn't take much.
It all started with severe weather spawning tornadoes in my area today. Right now the sun is shining through partly cloudy sky's. It will end with snow showers to possibly an inch of accumulation in my area on Sunday. North of my location (ATLANTA) they may get anywhere from 1-3 inches of the flaky white stuff [ no not me]. Northward from there, who knows? Here is the latest 'Winter weather advisory' for my area of Georgia. They don't issue these very often in my area unless they know for a fact it's going to SNOW.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
341 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM TO BRING SNOW TO MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...
.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW
TO ALL SNOW AS THE COLD AIR ALOFT BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ON GRASSY
AND EXPOSED SURFACES.
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>075-078>084-
089>096-010445-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.090301T1500Z-090302T0500Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS
341 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ADVISORY AREA COVERS MUCH OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTH OF A LINE FROM CUSSETA TO PERRY TO
MILLEDGEVILLE TO WEST OF AUGUSTA.
LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT AS
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE STATE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...COLD AIR ALOFT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE STATE CAUSING THE RAIN TO MIX WITH AND EVENTUALLY
CHANGE TO SNOW.
THE STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CREATE A
SWATH OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA. AS THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THIS PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE A LAYER
OF ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE WHICH WILL CAUSE
SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING. GROUND
SURFACES WILL ALSO BE WARM DUE TO THE RECENT MILD TEMPERATURES AND
SHOULD MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAYS.
HOWEVER...IF A HEAVY BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPS IT COULD CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO FALL AND SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW TO
OCCUR ON ROADS.
PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS ON TELEVISION... RADIO...THE INTERNET OR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO. IF THE STORM SYSTEM OR COLD AIR INTENSIFIES
FURTHER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Winter%20Weather%20Advisory
$$
Some forecast images for you wintry outlook:
Check back for updates and hopefully homestead pictures of snow in the deep south from me.
Later, ED
For other information and pictures from previous attempts of 'Snow in the South', check these out....
