#Sandy Makes Landfall October 29 2012 - Graphics

Sandy has made landfall as an Extratropical storm on the southern tip of New Jersey near Cape May and Ocean city. At landfall Sandy had Sustained winds of 90 mph and a central pressure of 940mb. Tropical Storm Force and Hurricane Force winds were felt for many hours. The National Hurricane Center has Sandy as a Post-Tropical Cyclone making landfall at 8:00 PM EDT Monday, October 29 2012 with winds of 80 mph and a central pressure of 946 located at 39.4N 74.5W. and moving WNW AT 23 MPH .[see note at bottom of post]

Below is the ONLY graphic from the Hurricane center of Sandy before landfall at 5:00 PM EDT Monday, October 29 2012. There is not a graphic at landfall at 8:00 PM EDT. Notice the location on the graphic 38.8N 74.4W and moving WNW at 28 mph as compared to the location at landfall from above 39.4N 74.5W. and moving WNW AT 23 MPH.

So the storm was moving at 23 mph at landfall, a decrease of 2 mph from the 5 pm report. Yet it took according to the Hurricane center 3 hours from the 5 pm report to make landfall at 8 pm, moving less than 34.4 miles at 23 miles and hour. Where as at 23 mph X 3 hours would have moved it 69 miles. I contend Hurricane Sandy made landfall between 6:15 and 6:30 pm as reported to my followers here, on facebook, and twitter as an as an Extratropical storm. Apples and Oranges, I know.

Here are Satellite images of Sandy During landfall from 6:15 PM EDT, 7:45 PM EDT and 8:15 PM EDT.

Sandy SAT 615 pm EDT 102912

Sandy SAT 745 pm EDT 102912

Sandy SAT 815 pm EDT 102912

Note - Landfall : The intersection of the surface center of a tropical cyclone with a coastline. Because the strongest winds in a tropical cyclone are not located precisely at the center, it is possible for a cyclone's strongest winds to be experienced over land even if landfall does not occur. Similarly, it is possible for a tropical cyclone to make landfall and have its strongest winds remain over the water. Compare direct hit, indirect hit, and strike. source - http://w1.weather.gov/glossary/index.php?letter=l

Many including myself thought from looking at data at the time that Hurricane Sandy made landfall between 6:15 and 6:30 PM EDT Monday October 29 2012; including some pro Mets. However the official time of landfall for Hurricane Sandy as released by the National Hurricane Center was at 8:00 PM EDT Monday October 29 2012. I will also point out that http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#l the National Hurricane Center tells us the same thing as the first link above from weather.gov. .... Now from observations, Hurricane Sandy or as it was called at landfall, Post-Tropical Cyclone SANDY, made landfall after the WHOLE EYE was on land. Not the leading edge. Not the center. The complete eye, at 8 PM EDT Monday October 29 2012

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Hurricane #Sandy Landfall 5:00 to 7:00 PM EDT | Update 2:00 PM EDT 10/29/12

At 940mb, Sandy is now the strongest hurricane recorded north of North Carolina!

Time of the center making landfall likely 5:00 to 7:00 PM EDT.
Per a tweet at 1:01 PM EDT Today from Dr. Greg Forbes @DrGregForbes from the weather Channel: "Sandy is speeding up, moving northwest at 25-30 mph. It could make landfall south NJ around 5PM. Hurricane winds approaching NJ, south NY."
*Note: At the source link, timestamp is wrong. source: https://twitter.com/DrGregForbes/status/262962284517801984

Winds continue to increase with Sandy. Estimated wind speed at landfall or before the center moves inland are near 100 mph. Wind gusts of 50-60+ mph are being reported along the NJ, NY, MA coasts and gusting to 66 mph at JFK Airport in NYC. Numerous power outages are coming in from various news sources with reports of 150,000 without power. This will continue and worsen as Sandy nears landfall south of Atlantic City.

Currently - Winds: 90 mph | Pressure 940 mb | Location: 38.3N 73.1W (175 miles South-southeast of New York City New York and 110 miles Southeast of Atlantic City New Jersey) | Moving Northwest at 28 mph. Tropical storm force winds extend out 485 miles and Hurricane force winds out 175 miles from the center. A tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect for North of surf City to Duck North Carolina and Pamlico / Albemarle sounds. Please Check previous posts Below for more information on expected impacts.

Hurricane #Sandy Life Threatening May Strengthen further - 11:00 AM EDT 10/29/12

Sandy continues to strengthen and may, 'may' become a category 2 Hurricane before weakening. Regardless of this, this is a dangerous storm and should bot be taken lightly.

Complete your final preparations if you haven't already done so. Stay inside. Stay off the roads. Avoid floodwater's and downed power lines if you do travel out [NOT RECOMMENDED]. Continue to listen to local officials & follow the forecast.

A reminder if you are riding this dangerous storm out and have already been asked to evacuate or evacuating is/was recommended. Emergency Personal / First Responders will not be risking their lives to come save you. Even if they choose too, it is likely they wouldn't be able due to flooding, downed trees and other debris blocking many roads.

Currently - Winds: 90 mph | Pressure 943 mb | Location: 33.5N 71.5W (260 miles South-southeast of New York City New York and 205 miles Southeast of Atlantic City New Jersey) | Moving North-Northwest at 18 mph. Tropical storm force winds extend out 485 miles and Hurricane force winds out 175 miles from the center. A tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect for North of surf City to Duck North Carolina and Pamlico / Albemarle sounds. Please Check previous posts for more information on expected impacts.

When Sandy goes Post-Tropical later today, the Foot's Forecast: Severe Storm Center will be issuing updates and they will be shared with this page.

Hurricane #Sandy - #Wind #StormSurge #Rain #Snow - 8:00 AM EDT 10/29/12

[Cross posted from Foot’s Forecast: The Tropical Zone, time is short, info current as of 8 AM EDT]

Good morning folks. We hope you are as prepared as you can be. If not, you should be finalizing your preparations as time is running out for you to do so. Heed all warnings and advisories issued by your local weather service and media outlets. Sandy is now expected to be a 'strong Category 1 Hurricane with winds of 90 mph at landfall'. At this time we have determined Sandy [the center] will make landfall in the area of northern Delaware and Southern New Jersey, in the Delaware Bay early Tuesday morning. When Sandy goes Post-Tropical later today, the Foot's Forecast: Severe Storm Center will be issuing updates and they will be shared with Foot’s Forecast: The Tropical Zone.

Currently - Winds: 85 mph | Pressure 946 mb | Location: 36.8N 71.1W (310 miles South-southeast of New York City New York and 265 miles Southeast of Atlantic City New Jersey) | Moving North-Northwest at 20 mph. Currently Tropical storm force winds extend out 485 miles and Hurricane force winds out 175 miles from the center. Sandy will be felt long before the center makes landfall. A tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect from Cape Fear to duck North Carolina, Pamlico / Albemarle sounds and Bermuda.

Hurricane force winds are expected between Chincoteague Virgina and Chatam Massachusetts including the Tidal Potomas from Cobb Island to Smith Point, the Middle and Upper Chesapeake Bay, Delaware Bay, The coasts of the Northern Delmarva Peninsula, New Jersey, New York City, Long Island, Connecticut and Rhode Island. Tropical storm Force winds are expected North of Chatam to the Merrimack River Massachusetts, the Lower Chesapeake Bay, South of Chincoteague to Duck North Carolina.

*Threats*

Winds in and around the area 'could be stronger' or weaker. It all depends on how strong Sandy Gets.: Winds as strong as but not limited to 'Hurricane Force [74 mph to 95 mph / Category 1]' strength will reach the Mid-Atlantic states including New York City and Long Island 'later today'. Elevated Winds will likely be 'Stronger' than those near ground level. These stronger winds will affect the 'upper floors of high rise buildings'. Stay away from the windows if you live on upper floors. Winds may also be stronger due to the funneling effect caused by buildings and other structures. Tropical Storm force winds [39 mph to 73 mph] and or Gale force Winds [39 mph to 54 mph] are already being felt from North Carolina 'northward' to Long Island. These winds are expected to spread to other areas of the Mid-Atlantic coast, New York City and Southern New England later this morning and today.

Storm Surge measured 'above ground' - It 'could be more' or less. It all depends on the timing [high tide/low tide] and how strong Sandy Gets. :
Long Island Sound / Paritan Bay / New York Harbor - 6 to 11 Feet
Fron Ocean City Maryland to the Connecticut / Rhode Island Border - 4 to 8 Feet
North Carolina North of Surf City including the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds - 4 to 6 Feet
Connecticut / Rhode Island Border to the South Shore of Cape Cod including Buzzards Bay and Narragansett Bay - 3 to 6 Feet
Southeast Virginia and Delmarva including the Lower Chesapeake Bay - 2 to 4 Feet
Cape Cod to the Massachusetts / New Hampshire border including Cap Cod Bay - 2 to 4 Feet
Upper and Middle Chesapeake Bay - 1 to 3 Feet
Massachusetts / New Hampshire border to the United States / Canadian Border - 1 to 3 Feet

Rainfall from the coast further inland will likely cause flooding in low areas and flash flooding in other areas. Be aware of this as there is low confidence in forecasting 'flash floods'.: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches expected in and around Northeastern North Carolina with isolated amounts of 8 inches possible. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are expected in the Mid-Atlantic States and the Delmarva Peninsula with isolated amounts of 12 inches possible. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected in the Southern Tier of New York State Northeastward through New England with isolated amounts of 5 inches possible.

Snowfall: Areas of Eastern West Virginia , Western Virginia, Western North Carolina, Eastern Kentucky and Eastern Tennessee are currently under a Blizzard Warning and or Winter Storm Warning. In the 'blizzard warned areas' Heavy snow with white-out conditions can be expected with deep drifts and dangerous wind chill likely. In the 'winter storm warned areas' Heavy wet snow, heavy freezing rain and or heavy sleet can be expected.
Snow amounts expected range from '2 to 3 Feet' in the mountains of West Virginia with locally higher amounts possible 'today through Wednesday'. Snow amounts expected range from '1 to 2 Feet' in the mountains of Southwestern Virginia to the Kentucky Border and '12 to 18 inches' in the mountains near the North Carolina / Tennessee border and in the mountains of Western Maryland.


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Hurricane #Sandy may Strengthen a little - October 28 2012

Hurricane Sandy is showing signs of strengthening but it's not a guarantee she will. Hurricane Sandy will be in warm waters of the Atlantic Gulf Stream as she continues to head northward. I expect a slight increase in her strength as far as sustained winds, maybe up to 80 mph around her core. Once she enters cooler waters to her north she will maintain her strength but will not strengthen further.

Here's the latest on Sandy as of 8:00 AM EDT - Winds: 75 mph | Pressure 951 mb | Location: 32.1N 73.1W (395 miles East of New York City New York and 260 miles Southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina) | Moving NE at 10 mph. Currently Tropical storm force winds extend out 520 miles and Hurricane force winds out 175 miles from the center. A tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect from Cape Fear to duck North Carolina, Pamlico and Alnemarle sounds and Bermuda.

What kind of weather to expect and threats ... Along the east coast as Sandy heads in a northward direction expect winds to increase ahead of her. Tropical Storm Force winds will be felt today along the outer-banks of North Carolina spreading northward, as well as ruff surf and storm surge. Heavy tropical rains can also be expected along the coast decreasing further inland. Remember as Sandy Moves Northward so shall the adverse weather. Sandy is a large storm and her effects will be felt far from her center. It is important that you not concentrate on where her center is located on a map because of this. Effect's will be felt long before the center of the storm is near or over land.

For those of you in the Mid Atlantic, Northeast and Southern New England areas, if you haven't made preparations yet, Now would be the time to do so. High wind watches and warnings are currently in effect for many areas including the Mid Atlantic and New England in advance of Sandy. I urge you to take all Warnings issued by your local national weather service office seriously. Continue to monitor your local media and national weather service offices for Watches and Warning specific to your local area.


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Stay with us for timely updates and the latest information as this storm unfolds at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone .

On a side note - While I am fully capable of speaking weather lingo, I leave it out in most if not all of my posts. I do this because you the general public are likely not to understand it. I give you what you need. Simple, relevant to the point facts and information. Besides, it gives me a headache hahaha. ~ ED

Hurricane #Sandy - State of Emergency for many

The following states / areas have issued a State of Emergency: Washington D.C., Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. If you know of others at this time, please let me know in the comments. Thanks ~ Ed

Sandy was downgraded to a Tropical Storm in the early morning hours [5 AM EDT] today. At 8 AM EDT today she was upgraded to a Hurricane once again.

Here's the latest on Sandy - Winds: 75 mph | Pressure 958 mb | Location: 29.0N 76.0W (190 miles North0Northeast of Great Abaco Island, 355 miles Southeast of Charleston South Carolina) | Moving NNE at 9 mph. Currently Tropical storm force winds extend out 450 miles and Hurricane winds out 105 miles from the center.

Turing our focus to areas that will be impacted in the short term by Sandy: For eastern North Carolina including the coastal areas we can expect Moderate coastal flooding tonight into Monday. Storm Surge combined with rainfall estimates at this time may cause inundation from 1 to 5 feet 'above ground' North of Cape Hatteras Ocean side, Cape Lookout to Cape Hatteras Ocean side, North of Surf City to Cape Lookout. On the sound side 3 to 5 feet 'above ground' may be seen along the Southern Pamlico Sound and Lower Neuse 'Today and Sunday' and anywhere on the sound side of the Outer Banks 'Sunday into Monday' including Roanoke Island. There is some uncertainty in the exact areas that will see this but it remains possible across a large area.

Winds will also be strong and gusty 'tonight into Monday' along Coastal areas sustained at 35 to 45 mph with gusts 50 to 65 mph. Further inland winds will be 25 to 35 mph with gust 40 to 50 mph. Now is a great time to secure loose belongings that are outside if you haven't already done so. Rip currents will be dangerous with breaking waves 8 to 12 feet 'today' and will cause significant beach erosion. Please stay out of the ocean.

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Stay with us for timely updates and the latest information as this storm unfolds at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone . Time for sleep 1 pm edt

Tropical Storm #Sandy .. What's in a name ?

Don't focus on what Sandy will be called in days ahead. Whether a Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Post tropical or extra tropical. She's going to cause problems for many regardless of her name and characteristics.

Depending on the exact track Sandy takes along the east coast, 'at this time' areas in North Carolina Today and spreading northward along the Mid Atlantic coast Tonight through Monday can expect rainfall of 1-4 inches with higher totals approaching 8 inches possible in some areas closer to the coast. Minor coastal flooding is expected in low lying areas with some beach erosion due to high surf up to 6 or 7 feet and Gusty winds between 30-40 mph with gusts approaching 60-70 mph possible. Flooding and loss of electricity is also possible inland.

At this time here's what you can expect 'before and during landfall' and 'inland after landfall' .. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm force winds for many hours possibly longer. Heavy rains of 8 to 12 inches along the coast and inland causing flooding issues for many. Coastal flooding and erosion for hours due to hurricane/tropical storm force winds and 'tidal surge'. Power outages widespread, Trees down, Roads closed due to debris / flooding and wash out, Airports and other transportation halted. Basic services shut down for days, a week or longer in some areas. To add to all that as if that's not enough, major snowfall measured in 'Feet' is likely for some areas west of the system in areas of Western Virginia, West Virginia, Southwest Pennsylvania. In surrounding areas of Ohio, Northeast Kentucky back into Indiana snowfall is likely as well as to the north of the system in areas of Southern New York State, East and Northeastern areas of Pennsylvania. There may be some icing issues too.

 See the Tropical Weather Page for Active Tropical Systems, Advisories and Warnings    Tropical page updates automatically when New Data is available


Stay with us for timely updates and the latest information at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone as this storm unfolds. You can head over to Foot's Forecast [Website] for more insight and see what goes into understanding a storm like this.

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Hurricane #Sandy makes landfall in Cuba - October 25 2012

HURRICANE SANDY as of 2:00 AM EDT | Winds: 110 mph | Pressure 957 mb | Location: 20.1N 75.9W (10 miles North-NorthWest of Santiago, Cuba) | Moving NNE at 15 mph

At 1:25 AM EDT Sandy makes landfall just west of Santiago De Cuba with winds of 110 mph. Reports from Santiago De Cuba have sustained winds of 78 mph with wind gust up to 114 mph in the last hour. Sandy is a strong category 2 hurricane borderline category 3 which has sustained winds beginning at 111 mph.

Hurricane Sandy making landfall in Cuba [radar may be down at times]

Stay updated on Sandy at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone and Foot's Forecast | South Florida & The Keys. See also ...

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Hurricane #Sandy a Strong Category 2 - 110 mph winds - #Cuba Radar

Sandy may reach Category 3 before landfall in Southeast Cuba.

Sandy has rapidly intensified over the last twelve hours, including a large drop in pressure. This classifies her as a "bomb" in the meteorological sense.

She is a very large storm, covering almost a million square miles. Because of her girth, we don't expect the Islands to weaken her much, and she will impact South Florida over the next 24 hours.

Current:
Winds: 110 mph
Pressure 957 mb
Location: 19.6N 76.1W (30 miles SW of Santiago, Cuba)
Moving NNE at 13 mph

Hurricane Sandy making landfall in Cuba

Stay updated on Sandy .. You can find myself and others on Facebook at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone and Foot's Forecast | South Florida & The Keys.

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Tropical Storm #Sandy soon to be a Hurricane & #Tony

Tropical Storm Sandy is anticipated to become a hurricane by the time she reaches Jamaica and Cuba today.

Sandy has strengthened overnight as she heads northward toward Jamaica. Currently Sandy has winds of 70 mph, is moving North at 14 mph and is 120 miles South of Kingston Jamaica and 295 miles South-southwest of Guantanamo Cuba at 16.3North 77.0West with a central pressure of 986 mb or 29.12 inches. The northward motion is expected to continue over the coming days with an increase in forward speed and strength as well. The center is anticipated to move across Jamaica late this afternoon and evening and be near or over eastern Cuba late tonight and Thursday morning and approaching the Central Bahamas sometime Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles from the center of Sandy at this time and tropical storm force winds are expected to be felt in Jamaica this morning with hurricane conditions this afternoon. Hurricane conditions are also possible in eastern Cuba this evening as well. Check back for updates on the forecast track of Sandy. Tormenta Tropical SANDY Aviso Publico - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTCPAT3+shtml/240721.shtml

Watches and Warnings with Sandy..

* 'Hurricane Warning' in effect for Jamaica and Cuban Provinces including Camaguey, LAs Tunas, Granma, Santiago De Cuba, Holguin and Guantanamo.

* 'Tropical Storm Warning' in effect for Hati, the Central Bahamas including Cat Island, The Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay and San Salvador.

* 'Tropical Storm Watch' in effect for the Southeastern and Northwestern Bahamas, the Florida east coast from Jupiter Inlet South and to Ocean Reef, and the Florida Upper Keys from Ocean Reef Southward to Craig Key including Florida Bay.

- Interest in southern and central Florida should continue to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Sandy in the coming days.

Tony is the 19th named storm of the 2012 hurricane season. Tropical Storm Tony currently has winds of 45 mph, is moving to the east-northeast at 16 mph and is 1415 miles west-southwest of the Azores at 27.4North 47.9West with a central pressure of 1003 mb or 29.62 inches. Tony is not a threat at this time to 'any' landmass and is expected to continue toward the east-northeast with an increase in forward speed during the next 48 hours.

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Hurricane #Rafael - October 16 2012

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bermuda.

As expected Rafael became a Hurricane yesterday at 6:45 PM AST with winds near 75 mph as reported by hurricane hunter aircraft. Rafael is the 17^th named storm of the 2012 hurricane season and the 9^th hurricane. The 2012 hurricane season ends on November 30^th so there's plenty of time for a few more storms.

Currently Rafael is a category 1 hurricane located about 195 miles south of Bermuda at 29.5North 64.4West with winds of 85 mph, heading rapidly at 23 mph toward the North-northeast with a central pressure of 969 mb. Hurricane force winds extend outward 35 miles and tropical storm force winds out 205 miles from the center. The center of Rafael will pass to the east of Bermuda late this evening with a turn toward the northeast along with an increase in forward speed later today or tomorrow. Rafael should begin to weaken due to strong wind shear upward of 40 kt and continue weakening as he moves into colder water becoming extratropical by Thursday.

Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches and tropical storm winds are expected across Bermuda this afternoon and evening. Life threatening surf and rip currents are anticipated along areas of Bermuda and may also impact areas along the U.S. east coast in the next couple of days.

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Tropical Storm #Leslie has formed in the Atlantic- August 30 2012

Tropical Storm Leslie currently [2:00 pm EDT] has winds of 40 mph and will likely become a Hurricane in the next 48 hours. Much Uncertainty remains in the track of this system due to influence of Hurricane Kirk and the subtropical ridge to it's west. This storm will need to be watched closely in the coming days for possible impact to the U.S. east coast.

You can find all the information on these Storms including Graphics and more on the Tropical Weather Page here ..

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Tropical Depression #Debby Less Organized Heading into Atlantic | Full Track | June 27 2012

Debby is back on track moving east/northeast after a short jog to the southeast late last night. She is now heading E/NE at 10MPH and positioned at 29.6N / 81.0W or about 25 miles Southeast of St. Augustine Florida. Her winds are still 35MPH and her central pressure is 998MB or 29.47 inches.

Debby's track as of 2:00 Am EDT June 27 2012: Shows track from beginning North of the Yucatan peninsula as a low pressure system on June 22 2012 designated 'Invest 96L'. Becoming Tropical Storm Debby on June 23 2012. Then becoming a Tropical Depression shortly after landfall on the Florida west coast June 26 2012.

Debby is expected to continue on her current track to the east northeast and enter the Atlantic Ocean sometime today / this morning. Once in the Atlantic her forward speed will increase she may intensify in the coming days. It is uncertain at this time how strong Debby may become, but she does have potential energy to work with from the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. We will continue to monitor Debby over the coming days.

Most of the rains early this morning remain off the east coast of Florida, with a few bands to the south still making their way through Central and Southern Florida. In the central and south, some rain heavy at times may be expected and may cause issues from training over the same areas until Debby moves farther away.

Heavy rains over the past few days are expected to continue to cause flooding issues due to runoff into local creeks and rivers. If you live around any of these areas it is requested that you monitor conditions closely.

All Coastal Tropical Storm watches and warnings have been discontinued. There remains a few areas on the west coast of Florida at this time under coastal flood warnings. Areas in north Florida and Southeast Georgia remain under Flood warnings. Check with your local National Weather Service offices to see if you are under any of these Warnings here - http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

Tropical Storm Beryl - May 27 2012

What was once a little Subtropical Storm Beryl, is now a grownup Tropical Storm Beryl.

At this time Tropical Storm Beryl has sustained winds of 65 MPH. Gusts of Hurricane force winds can be expected in and around the area as Tropical Storm Beryl makes her way towards the Florida / Georgia East coast. There is also the possibility of a quick short lived Tornado or two in Southeast Georgia.

AT 2:00 PM EDT the National Hurricane Center upgraded Subtropical Storm Beryl to Tropical Storm Beryl. Here is the latest information on Tropical Storm Beryl.

LOCATION...30.1N 79.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Volusia / Brevard county line in Central Florida to Edisto Beach in South Carolina. It is possible a Hurricane Warning may be issued at some point for the Jacksonville Florida area.

You can see the latest information on my Tropical Weather Page. You can also view Hourly reports from The Tropical Zone

Magnitude 2.7 Earthquake November 09, 2011 GEORGIA, USA

GA EARTHQUAKE Magnitude 2.7
Wednesday, November 09, 2011 at 11:44:34 AM EST

Magnitude 2.7 - GEORGIA, USA
2011 November 09 16:44:34 UTC

Earthquake Details

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 2.7

Date-Time

Wednesday, November 09, 2011 at 16:44:34 UTC
Wednesday, November 09, 2011 at 11:44:34 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 34.773°N, 84.982°W
Depth 5.2 km (3.2 miles)
Region GEORGIA, USA

Distances

1 km (1 miles) W (280°) from Dalton, GA
10 km (6 miles) SE (146°) from Tunnel Hill, GA
14 km (9 miles) S (186°) from Varnell, GA
40 km (25 miles) SE (139°) from Chattanooga, TN
125 km (77 miles) NNW (335°) from Atlanta, GA

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 0.8 km (0.5 miles); depth +/- 2.2 km (1.4 miles)
Parameters NST= 19, Nph= 28, Dmin=17 km, Rmss=0.1 sec, Gp= 61°,
M-type=duration magnitude (Md), Version=B

Source

Southeast U.S. Seismic Network

Event ID se110911b

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Quakes/se110911b.php

Previous 2011 Georgia Earthquakes:

Magnitude 2.6 Earthquake May 3 2011

Magnitude 1.7 Earthquake May 9 2011

Latest Computer Models Low Pressure Florida Coast - October 10 2011

For more information, see my earlier post here.

Hurricane Irene Update - Position at 5 AM EDT August 27 2011

As hurricane Irene continues to push northward, the biggest threat will be sporadic high wind and copious amounts of rain which will cause flooding. At the time of this writing, estimates of 1-2 to 3 million are without electrical power depending on which source you query. I'm sure this will increase as the day and hurricane Irene progress. Latest reports on deaths from Irene that I saw stand at 10, with 2 of those being children.

At this time Hurricane Irene made landfall 'again' at 5:35 a.m. EDT along the coast of New Jersey near Little Egg Inlet. The estimated intensity at landfall was 75 mph. Irene will make another landfall later this morning likely on Long Island NY around West Islip, however the Weather Channel [ Stephanie Abrams ] live at 6AM EDT stated landfall will be in Manhattan NY. Here is the current information on Irene as of 5 AM EDT --

HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...IRENE MOVING ALONG THE JERSEY SHORE...EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR NEW
YORK CITY AND INLAND OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.2N 74.5W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM SSW OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

Here is the current position on the map as of 5AM EDT -

This will likely be my last post on the position of Irene. I may compile some images and videos at a later date, no promises. I will look for final totals on damage and death and may post them for the record at a later date.

Hurricane Irene Update - Landfall August 27 2011

Hurricane Irene is now a Strong category 1 hurricane. With winds still expected to be a threat early on, the bigger threat will be storm surge and rain amounts. This is provided she continues to weaken as she moves north northeast on her projected track.

Here are a couple screen grabs I took moments ago -

Hurricane Irene making landfall 524AMEDT AUGUST 27 2011

Hurricane Irene Rain total 1040pm-519amedt August 27 2011 Roughly 6½ hours

Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center at 5 AM EDT, with forecast track and model plots following the text.

HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

...CENTER OF IRENE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTH CAROLINA
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 76.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST.  IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THEN MOVE ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.  THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE
IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND IRENE IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY ONE AND CATEGORY TWO
STRENGTH.  SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IRENE REACHES THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS
IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES...415 KM.  THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 61 MPH...98 KM/H...AND A WIND
GUST OF 78 MPH...126 KM/H.  A STORM SPOTTER IN STACY NORTH CAROLINA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 93 MPH...150 KM/H. 

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.  A NOAA BUOY IN
ONSLOW BAY NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 
963.1 MB...28.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE WARNING AREA TODAY.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING
ONTO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...AND SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS
MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.  STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES.  STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.  THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.

Irene Forecast track as of 5amedt Aug 27 2011

Irene Forecast track as of 536amedt Aug 27 2011

Irene Forecast track as of 2amedt Aug 27 2011

Hurricane Irene Update - August 26 2011

Irene has weakened slightly at this time and is now a category 2 hurricane. Irene will continue to fluctuate in strength and size as she continues here track to the north and then northeast. Irene is a dangerous storm and these slight variations in size and strength should not be considered or overlooked as a sign of overall weakening.

People in the path of Irene should head the warnings issued and take appropriate measures to secure their well being. Property can often be replaced and there is nothing you con do to stop the power of a hurricane should it decide to take your property. Save your life, move to a safe place well inland from the storm.

Remember the reach of hurricane and tropical strength winds will be felt some distance from the actual center of the hurricane, as well as heavy flooding rains and tidal surge. At this time hurricane force winds extend outwards of 90 miles, and tropical storm force winds extend outwards up to 290 miles. Tropical storm winds are as deadly with speeds reaching 73 MPH where hurricane type devastation will occur. A wind of 50 MPH will cause trees to be uprooted and structural damage to property to occur.

Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center with projected track and model plots following the text -

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...IRENE SLIGHTLY WEAKER...WARNINGS AND WATCHES EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 77.2W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN THEREAFTER. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS WELL OFF THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TODAY...APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS
POSSIBLE TODAY...AND IRENE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE THRESHOLD
BETWEEN CATEGORY TWO AND THREE AS IT REACHES THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.

IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE.   HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM.  NOAA
BUOY 41010 LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES...220 KM EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL
FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 74 MPH...119 KM/H.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

Irene Forecast track as of 5amedt Aug 26 2011

Irene Forecast track as of 521amedt Aug 26 2011

Irene Forecast track as of 2amedt Aug 26 2011

Hurricane Irene Update - 6AM EDT August 25 2011

Hurricane Irene is acting up. The track once more has shifted to the West and now puts the center crossing the NC coast west of Cape Hatteras over the Pamlico Sound. Also, Once Irene makes landfall on the North Carolina coast and moves North, a second landfall on Long Island not too far east of New York City with a third landfall very near Bridgeport, CT. All of this is based off of current models and data. Be safe and if you know of someone in any of these areas, how about making sure they are aware of what's taking place.

Here is the latest from the NHC -

HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
500 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE MOVING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR A PORTION
OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 76.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ESE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

Most recent computer models of Hurricane Irene track -

Irene Forecast track as of 5amedt Aug 25 2011

Irene Forecast track as of 2amedt Aug 25 2011

Irene Forecast track as of 551amedt Aug 25 2011