#Sandy Makes Landfall October 29 2012 - Graphics

Sandy has made landfall as an Extratropical storm on the southern tip of New Jersey near Cape May and Ocean city. At landfall Sandy had Sustained winds of 90 mph and a central pressure of 940mb. Tropical Storm Force and Hurricane Force winds were felt for many hours. The National Hurricane Center has Sandy as a Post-Tropical Cyclone making landfall at 8:00 PM EDT Monday, October 29 2012 with winds of 80 mph and a central pressure of 946 located at 39.4N 74.5W. and moving WNW AT 23 MPH .[see note at bottom of post]

Below is the ONLY graphic from the Hurricane center of Sandy before landfall at 5:00 PM EDT Monday, October 29 2012. There is not a graphic at landfall at 8:00 PM EDT. Notice the location on the graphic 38.8N 74.4W and moving WNW at 28 mph as compared to the location at landfall from above 39.4N 74.5W. and moving WNW AT 23 MPH.

So the storm was moving at 23 mph at landfall, a decrease of 2 mph from the 5 pm report. Yet it took according to the Hurricane center 3 hours from the 5 pm report to make landfall at 8 pm, moving less than 34.4 miles at 23 miles and hour. Where as at 23 mph X 3 hours would have moved it 69 miles. I contend Hurricane Sandy made landfall between 6:15 and 6:30 pm as reported to my followers here, on facebook, and twitter as an as an Extratropical storm. Apples and Oranges, I know.

Here are Satellite images of Sandy During landfall from 6:15 PM EDT, 7:45 PM EDT and 8:15 PM EDT.

Sandy SAT 615 pm EDT 102912

Sandy SAT 745 pm EDT 102912

Sandy SAT 815 pm EDT 102912

Note - Landfall : The intersection of the surface center of a tropical cyclone with a coastline. Because the strongest winds in a tropical cyclone are not located precisely at the center, it is possible for a cyclone's strongest winds to be experienced over land even if landfall does not occur. Similarly, it is possible for a tropical cyclone to make landfall and have its strongest winds remain over the water. Compare direct hit, indirect hit, and strike. source - http://w1.weather.gov/glossary/index.php?letter=l

Many including myself thought from looking at data at the time that Hurricane Sandy made landfall between 6:15 and 6:30 PM EDT Monday October 29 2012; including some pro Mets. However the official time of landfall for Hurricane Sandy as released by the National Hurricane Center was at 8:00 PM EDT Monday October 29 2012. I will also point out that http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#l the National Hurricane Center tells us the same thing as the first link above from weather.gov. .... Now from observations, Hurricane Sandy or as it was called at landfall, Post-Tropical Cyclone SANDY, made landfall after the WHOLE EYE was on land. Not the leading edge. Not the center. The complete eye, at 8 PM EDT Monday October 29 2012

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Hurricane #Sandy may Strengthen a little - October 28 2012

Hurricane Sandy is showing signs of strengthening but it's not a guarantee she will. Hurricane Sandy will be in warm waters of the Atlantic Gulf Stream as she continues to head northward. I expect a slight increase in her strength as far as sustained winds, maybe up to 80 mph around her core. Once she enters cooler waters to her north she will maintain her strength but will not strengthen further.

Here's the latest on Sandy as of 8:00 AM EDT - Winds: 75 mph | Pressure 951 mb | Location: 32.1N 73.1W (395 miles East of New York City New York and 260 miles Southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina) | Moving NE at 10 mph. Currently Tropical storm force winds extend out 520 miles and Hurricane force winds out 175 miles from the center. A tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect from Cape Fear to duck North Carolina, Pamlico and Alnemarle sounds and Bermuda.

What kind of weather to expect and threats ... Along the east coast as Sandy heads in a northward direction expect winds to increase ahead of her. Tropical Storm Force winds will be felt today along the outer-banks of North Carolina spreading northward, as well as ruff surf and storm surge. Heavy tropical rains can also be expected along the coast decreasing further inland. Remember as Sandy Moves Northward so shall the adverse weather. Sandy is a large storm and her effects will be felt far from her center. It is important that you not concentrate on where her center is located on a map because of this. Effect's will be felt long before the center of the storm is near or over land.

For those of you in the Mid Atlantic, Northeast and Southern New England areas, if you haven't made preparations yet, Now would be the time to do so. High wind watches and warnings are currently in effect for many areas including the Mid Atlantic and New England in advance of Sandy. I urge you to take all Warnings issued by your local national weather service office seriously. Continue to monitor your local media and national weather service offices for Watches and Warning specific to your local area.


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Stay with us for timely updates and the latest information as this storm unfolds at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone .

On a side note - While I am fully capable of speaking weather lingo, I leave it out in most if not all of my posts. I do this because you the general public are likely not to understand it. I give you what you need. Simple, relevant to the point facts and information. Besides, it gives me a headache hahaha. ~ ED

Hurricane #Sandy - State of Emergency for many

The following states / areas have issued a State of Emergency: Washington D.C., Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. If you know of others at this time, please let me know in the comments. Thanks ~ Ed

Sandy was downgraded to a Tropical Storm in the early morning hours [5 AM EDT] today. At 8 AM EDT today she was upgraded to a Hurricane once again.

Here's the latest on Sandy - Winds: 75 mph | Pressure 958 mb | Location: 29.0N 76.0W (190 miles North0Northeast of Great Abaco Island, 355 miles Southeast of Charleston South Carolina) | Moving NNE at 9 mph. Currently Tropical storm force winds extend out 450 miles and Hurricane winds out 105 miles from the center.

Turing our focus to areas that will be impacted in the short term by Sandy: For eastern North Carolina including the coastal areas we can expect Moderate coastal flooding tonight into Monday. Storm Surge combined with rainfall estimates at this time may cause inundation from 1 to 5 feet 'above ground' North of Cape Hatteras Ocean side, Cape Lookout to Cape Hatteras Ocean side, North of Surf City to Cape Lookout. On the sound side 3 to 5 feet 'above ground' may be seen along the Southern Pamlico Sound and Lower Neuse 'Today and Sunday' and anywhere on the sound side of the Outer Banks 'Sunday into Monday' including Roanoke Island. There is some uncertainty in the exact areas that will see this but it remains possible across a large area.

Winds will also be strong and gusty 'tonight into Monday' along Coastal areas sustained at 35 to 45 mph with gusts 50 to 65 mph. Further inland winds will be 25 to 35 mph with gust 40 to 50 mph. Now is a great time to secure loose belongings that are outside if you haven't already done so. Rip currents will be dangerous with breaking waves 8 to 12 feet 'today' and will cause significant beach erosion. Please stay out of the ocean.

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Stay with us for timely updates and the latest information as this storm unfolds at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone . Time for sleep 1 pm edt

Hurricane #Sandy a Strong Category 2 - 110 mph winds - #Cuba Radar

Sandy may reach Category 3 before landfall in Southeast Cuba.

Sandy has rapidly intensified over the last twelve hours, including a large drop in pressure. This classifies her as a "bomb" in the meteorological sense.

She is a very large storm, covering almost a million square miles. Because of her girth, we don't expect the Islands to weaken her much, and she will impact South Florida over the next 24 hours.

Current:
Winds: 110 mph
Pressure 957 mb
Location: 19.6N 76.1W (30 miles SW of Santiago, Cuba)
Moving NNE at 13 mph

Hurricane Sandy making landfall in Cuba

Stay updated on Sandy .. You can find myself and others on Facebook at Foot's Forecast: The Tropical Zone and Foot's Forecast | South Florida & The Keys.

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Tropical Storm #Sandy soon to be a Hurricane & #Tony

Tropical Storm Sandy is anticipated to become a hurricane by the time she reaches Jamaica and Cuba today.

Sandy has strengthened overnight as she heads northward toward Jamaica. Currently Sandy has winds of 70 mph, is moving North at 14 mph and is 120 miles South of Kingston Jamaica and 295 miles South-southwest of Guantanamo Cuba at 16.3North 77.0West with a central pressure of 986 mb or 29.12 inches. The northward motion is expected to continue over the coming days with an increase in forward speed and strength as well. The center is anticipated to move across Jamaica late this afternoon and evening and be near or over eastern Cuba late tonight and Thursday morning and approaching the Central Bahamas sometime Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles from the center of Sandy at this time and tropical storm force winds are expected to be felt in Jamaica this morning with hurricane conditions this afternoon. Hurricane conditions are also possible in eastern Cuba this evening as well. Check back for updates on the forecast track of Sandy. Tormenta Tropical SANDY Aviso Publico - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTCPAT3+shtml/240721.shtml

Watches and Warnings with Sandy..

* 'Hurricane Warning' in effect for Jamaica and Cuban Provinces including Camaguey, LAs Tunas, Granma, Santiago De Cuba, Holguin and Guantanamo.

* 'Tropical Storm Warning' in effect for Hati, the Central Bahamas including Cat Island, The Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay and San Salvador.

* 'Tropical Storm Watch' in effect for the Southeastern and Northwestern Bahamas, the Florida east coast from Jupiter Inlet South and to Ocean Reef, and the Florida Upper Keys from Ocean Reef Southward to Craig Key including Florida Bay.

- Interest in southern and central Florida should continue to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Sandy in the coming days.

Tony is the 19th named storm of the 2012 hurricane season. Tropical Storm Tony currently has winds of 45 mph, is moving to the east-northeast at 16 mph and is 1415 miles west-southwest of the Azores at 27.4North 47.9West with a central pressure of 1003 mb or 29.62 inches. Tony is not a threat at this time to 'any' landmass and is expected to continue toward the east-northeast with an increase in forward speed during the next 48 hours.

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Hurricane #Rafael - October 16 2012

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bermuda.

As expected Rafael became a Hurricane yesterday at 6:45 PM AST with winds near 75 mph as reported by hurricane hunter aircraft. Rafael is the 17^th named storm of the 2012 hurricane season and the 9^th hurricane. The 2012 hurricane season ends on November 30^th so there's plenty of time for a few more storms.

Currently Rafael is a category 1 hurricane located about 195 miles south of Bermuda at 29.5North 64.4West with winds of 85 mph, heading rapidly at 23 mph toward the North-northeast with a central pressure of 969 mb. Hurricane force winds extend outward 35 miles and tropical storm force winds out 205 miles from the center. The center of Rafael will pass to the east of Bermuda late this evening with a turn toward the northeast along with an increase in forward speed later today or tomorrow. Rafael should begin to weaken due to strong wind shear upward of 40 kt and continue weakening as he moves into colder water becoming extratropical by Thursday.

Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches and tropical storm winds are expected across Bermuda this afternoon and evening. Life threatening surf and rip currents are anticipated along areas of Bermuda and may also impact areas along the U.S. east coast in the next couple of days.

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Tropical Storm #Rafael - October 15 2012

Not a mutant ninja .. but likely to mutate into a Hurricane today. A tropical storm warning is in effect for Bermuda.

Rafael is the 17th named system of the 2012 hurricane season. Currently located about 645 miles to the South of Bermuda at 23.0North 65.7West with winds of 70 mph and a central pressure of 985 mb, Rafael is moving at about 9 mph toward the north-northwest. A turn toward the North is anticipated today or early tomorrow and a turn toward the northeast on Tuesday with an increase in forward speed. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles form the storms center at this time. Tropical storm force winds may begin to impact Bermuda tomorrow. The exact track of Rafael is uncertain at this time. We urge those on the island of Bermuda to monitor this storm closely in the coming days.

Hazards associated with Rafael at this time include additional heavy rains of 1 to 3 inches over areas of the Leeward Islands with possible storm totals up to 12 inches, which may cause 'flash floods and mudslides'. Also high surf is anticipated to affect Bermuda over the coming days causing rip current conditions which may endanger life.

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TRMM Microwave Image shows the eye of Rafael wrapping up

Tropical Storm #Rafael / Tropical Depression #Patty - October 13 2012

**Bermuda should monitor Rafael closely.**

TD Patty: As mentioned in previous posts Patty is expected to become a remnant low at some time today. Patty has winds of 35 mph and is located about 280 miles east-northeast of the central Bahamas 25.5North 71.9West with a central pressure of 1008 mb. Currently Patty is stationary. Movement to the west-southwest is anticipated which should continue until she dissipates. 'No Watches or Warnings in effect'.

TS Rafael: Rafael is the 17th named system of the 2012 hurricane season. Currently located about 165 miles south-southeast of St. Croix in the Virgin Islands 15.5North 63.9West with winds of 40 mph and a central pressure of 1006 mb, Rafael is moving at about 9 mph toward the northwest. A turn toward the north-northwest is anticipated later today and this will bring the center of Rafael close or over the Virgin Islands. During this time some strengthening is expected. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles at this time to the southeast side of the center. Tropical storm conditions are expected today across the Lesser Antilles and the Virgin Islands and are possible around Puerto Rico, Culebra and Vieques tonight, and Sunday October 14. **Bermuda should monitor Rafael closely.**

Watches and Warnings:

* A Tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Anguilla, Barbuda, St. Kits, Nevis, Antigua, Montserrat, Saba, St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, St. Martin, Guadeloupe, Desirade, Les Saintes, Marie Galante, and Martinique.

* A tropical Storm 'Watch' is in effect for Puerto Rico, Culebra and Vieques.

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Tropical Storm #Patty / Invest #98L

Hurricane Hunters are on the way to have a look at Patty. They'll continue southeast and have a look at Invest98L this afternoon.

Patty is located about 275 miles to the East-Northeast of the central Bahamas at 25.5North 72.0West with winds of 40 mph and a central pressure of 1006. Patty is drifting to the northeast at about 2 mph and this is expected to continue today with a turn toward the southwest expected on Saturday. Tropical Storm force winds extend outward about 70 miles form the center. There are 'no tropical storm watches or warnings'. Patty should begin to weaken and she should become a remnant low over the weekend. As mentioned in earlier post, Patty will be short lived.

Invest98L should become the 17th named storm of the 2012 Hurricane season. When it does, it will be Rafael. It will likely be a named system later today, if not by tomorrow. This system has an 80% chance of further development. Currently the system is generally showing better organization and is likely producing 'tropical storm winds' in the outer bands. While the system continues to show an open circulation on satellite, it should close off over the weekend and strengthening is expected. Currently computer models show Tropical Storm Rafael staying off the east coast and maintaining tropical storm strength in the coming days. In the near term, a tropical storm warning may be issued for areas of the Leeward Islands. In the long term, Bermuda should be monitoring this system for possible impacts in the area.

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Tropical Depression Sixteen #TD16 / Invest #98L - October 11 2012

Hurricane season ends on November 30. With that said we have a newly formed tropical depression this morning, Tropical depression Sixteen. Currently located about 235 miles east-northeast of the central Bahamas at 25.4North 72.6West, TD 16 has winds of 35 mph, a central pressure of 1009 mb and is moving south at 1 mph. TD 16 is expected to have no impact on the US mainland and there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. In fact, little if any strengthening is anticipated with TD 16 and it is expected at this time to dissipate by Saturday.

While TD 16 does it's thing I'm also monitoring an area currently designated as Invest 98L. Currently this system has a 50 percent chance of further development in the coming days. Estimates currently locate 98L about 350 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands heading west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Heavy rainfall and squally winds are possible during the next couple of days in the vicinity of the Lesser Antilles.

I'll keep an eye on both of these systems in the coming days for changes.

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Tropical Depression 10 #TD10, another Tropical Wave exits Africa

As for Tropical Depression 10 .. She is still headed West-Northwestward at 16mph with winds of 35mph and a central pressure of 1007mb. It is anticipated she will become a 'Tropical Storm' sometime today or on Friday. She will be named Joyce when that occurs. Currently situated at 13.8North 39.5West about 1045 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.
She should be no threat to the U.S. mainland, but the Island of Bermuda should be watching her closely as she may impact or come close to the area. Still remains to be seen but here's the latest computer models.

Also of interest at this time is yet another tropical wave which has exited the west coast of Africa. At this time it has a 10 percent chance of further developing as it continues to head west at about 15mph. You can see this area in yellow to the right in this image.

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Tropical Storm #Isaac - #Invest96L - August 22 2012

Isaac still a Tropical Storm at this hour 'expected to become a Hurricane within the next 48 hours'. Currently located at 15.5North 57.3West about 280 Miles East of Guadeloupe, with winds of 45mph and is heading West at 18mph. The central pressure is 1003mb or 29.62inches. Isaac is showing better organization on satellite imagery and beginning to get the classic look of tropical systems. Isaac has an eye as reported by Hurricane Hunters currently investigating with a diameter of 10 nautical miles [ 12 statute miles ].

Outer rainbands are currently impacting the Leeward and northern Windward Islands. Isaac will impact the Leeward Islands Today. Some strengthening may occur before landfall. Tropical Storm winds which extend outward 45 miles form the center of Isaac will be felt before the center makes landfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 8 inches are expected in some areas before Isaac crosses and makes his way into the Western Caribbean Thursday morning.

* A 'Hurricane Watch' is in effect for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, the South Coast of the Dominican Republic from Isla Saona Westward to the Haiti Dominican Republic Southern Border.

* A Tropical Storm 'Warning' is in effect for Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe and St. Martin and surrounding Islands as well as St. Kits, Nevis, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, Anguilla, Saba, St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, the British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

* A tropical Storm 'Watch' is in effect for the North Coast of the Dominican Republic from Haiti Dominican Republic Northern Border Eastward to North of Isla Saona.

* Interest in and around these areas including Hispaniola and Cuba should be monitoring the progress of Isaac.
* I urge interest in Florida, the Eastern Gulf coastal areas and the East coast to remain vigilante as the forecast track of Isaac remains uncertain at this time.

Perspectivas De Las Condiciones Del Tiempo En El Tropico -
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTWOSP+shtml/220625.shtml

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I continue to watch [Invest 96L] in the East Atlantic about 650 Miles West-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. This wave has winds last reported of 30mph and is located at 11.5North 34.5West moving to the West-Northwest. As of 2:00 AM EDT 96L has a 90 percent chance of becoming our next depression or storm 'later today'. Once named it will be Joyce. The forecast track at this time remains uncertain. Next update from NHC on this system 8:00 AM EDT

I'll be keeping a close watch on both of these systems in the days to come.

Remnant Tropical Depression Seven #TD7 | #Perseid Meteor Shower

Depending on how you look at weather, I have sad news, and good news for some. Tropical Depression Seven is now classified as a Tropical Wave. Unless this Wave can regenerate it will not become Tropical Storm Gordon. Regeneration is not expected due to dry air being pulled in and modest wind shear in the area [as mentioned yesterday].

Currently this open wave is located about 40 Miles east of the Barbados at 13.3 North 58.9 West and still has winds of 35 MPH. Moving West at a fast clip of 25 MPH which doesn't help with tropical formation, and has a central pressure of 1011 MB or 29.85 inches. This will be the last update on this system. I'll continue to monitor this wave and should it come back to life I'll let you know. Although no longer a threat, tropical storm winds may still be in and around the system and may be possible across the Windward Islands through tonight.

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On a side note: Do you like to gaze at the stars ? If so, tonight would be a good night to do so. Providing skies are clear in your area, you may be able to see the Perseid Meteor Shower which will peak tonight showering the skies with 60 to 100 meteors an hour. The best time for viewing will be after midnight, but there is a possibility you could see some before this time; I have in the past. You can read more about the Perseid Meteor Shower here - http://www.examiner.com/article/2012-perseid-meteor-showers-have-begun-peak-expected-august-11-and-12

Tropical Depression Seven #TD7 / Invest #93L - August 10 2012

Tropical Depression Seven [TD7] looking a little better organized at this time on satellite imagery. Currently TD7 is located about 1245 Miles east of the Windward Islands at 13.7 North 49.5 West. TD7 has winds of 35 MPH is moving West at a fast clip of 23 MPH and has a central pressure of 1009 MB or 29.80 inches. It is uncertain if TD7 will be able to maintain it's current structure at this time as it continues to move toward the Caribbean. There is a large swath of dry air to the north and ahead of this system with hints of some being pulled in. Remnants of what's left of Florence due north may also be contributing some wind shear in the area at this time. It seems the only thing TD7 has going for it at this time are warm sea surface temperatures. I'll keep an eye on TD7 for further development in the coming days.

######

Invest 93L is struggling at this time as it moves over cooler water and has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm at this time. While conditions at this time seem unfavorable for further development, I'll continue to keep an eye on this tropical wave.


Spaghetti Models for Tropical Depression Seven #TD7 and Invest #93L

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Tropical Page Updated - Tropical Depression Five

The Tropical Weather Page is updated with information on Tropical Depression Five. You can access it here http://cataulagawx.blogspot.com/p/tropical-weather.html

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
200 AM AST THU AUG 02 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS LESS ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 51.5W
ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

97L Tropical Wave / Disturbance Gulf of Mexico / Remnants of Post Tropical Storm Debby

Update: All ares of interest have dissipated. For an automatically updated Tropical Weather Outlook, see the Tropical Weather Page

Original Post below

I've been watching an area of disturbed weather currently designated 97L for the past few days way out in the Atlantic. While it's a bit early for action down that way from my experience, this hurricane season as a whole at this point has been early . I'll keep an eye on this area currently designated 97L in the coming days for further possible development.

As of 8:00 AM EDT June 30 2012:

Currently designated 97L, this area of activity has a 10 percent chance of becoming a Tropical Storm in the next 48 hours. Currently located about 600 miles East of the Windward Islands, Maximum sustained winds are 29 MPH extending out about 52 miles. Central pressure was 1013MB. See image below for current computer models tracks.

An area of disturbed weather in the Western Gulf of Mexico continues to produce clouds and some thunderstorms as it moves Northward around 5 to 10 miles per hour. This area has near 0 percent chance of becoming a Tropical storm in the next 48 hours.

The remnants of post tropical storm Debby continue to show shower activity. This area has a near 0 percent chance of development in the next 48 hours as conditions remain unfavorable. Located about 575 miles South of Halifax Nova Scotia, the remnants are moving East Northeastward at about 20 MPH.