Latest data showed winds of 30 knots/35mph which if sustained would fit the Tropical Storm category. Due to the disorganized nature of the system, it's likely the reason why Chance is yet to be classified as such. Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Chance today, flying out around 18Z / 2 PM EDT. As long as the flight is not canceled and collected data analyzed, we should know by early evening today if we have a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Debby.
Satellite imagery from early this morning shows what appears to be a closed center of circulation trying to form.
Computer Models once again are having a hard time determining where Chance may go in this early stage. Referring to the 2,1,3 Split above, 2 models have her going East, 1 to the North and 3 have her heading West. With much uncertainty at this time, we are not comfortable in forecasting where a possible landfall will take place. We suggest at this time all areas along the Gulf Coast keep a close eye on this developing system.
